Calidad Porteña vs Juventud Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
37.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calidad Porteña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CSM
3 - 1
CCP
72%
16%
12%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CCP
2 - 1
CLF
39%
22%
40%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Juventud Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
JUP
1 - 0
ALI
33%
21%
46%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CDH
6 - 2
JUP
41%
22%
38%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
JUP
0 - 1
PAS
11%
19%
70%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
USM
3 - 0
JUP
77%
15%
8%
|
6 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
JUP
1 - 3
ISF
27%
21%
52%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | -1 |