Europa League 1/16
Global 1-4
Club Brugge vs Spartak Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
11.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club Brugge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
BRU
3 - 0
THO
82%
12%
6%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
SPA
1 - 0
BRU
39%
24%
37%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
LOK
0 - 2
BRU
24%
23%
53%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1985 |
SDL
3 - 1
BRU
44%
24%
32%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
BRU
3 - 1
BOA
84%
12%
5%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
SPA
1 - 0
BRU
39%
24%
37%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
TPS
1 - 3
SPA
2%
20%
78%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
SPA
1 - 0
TPS
72%
18%
10%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1984 |
KOL
2 - 0
SPA
67%
17%
16%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1984 |
SPA
1 - 0
KOL
56%
22%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |