Conference League qualifiers Tercera Ronda Final
Global 10-2
Club Brugge vs KA Akureyri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club Brugge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
KVC
0 - 1
BRU
28%
24%
48%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
AGF
1 - 0
BRU
14%
21%
64%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
BRU
1 - 1
KVM
65%
20%
15%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
BRU
3 - 0
AGF
71%
18%
11%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
BRU
1 - 2
AZA
41%
25%
34%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
KA Akureyri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
4 - 2
KAA
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 2
KAA
46%
23%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
KAA
1 - 1
HKK
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
KAA
3 - 1
DUN
46%
25%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
KEF
3 - 4
KAA
22%
25%
53%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |