Europa League Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Club Brugge vs Hamburger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club Brugge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
ANT
3 - 3
BRU
29%
26%
45%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1976 |
BRU
5 - 1
KVM
83%
12%
5%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
BRU
5 - 1
CHA
85%
11%
5%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1976 |
HSV
1 - 1
BRU
52%
23%
24%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
SDL
0 - 1
BRU
39%
26%
35%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1976 |
EIN
1 - 0
HSV
61%
21%
18%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1976 |
HOM
1 - 2
HSV
39%
27%
35%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1976 |
HSV
1 - 1
BRU
52%
23%
24%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
HSV
5 - 3
RTV
69%
19%
13%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1976 |
ROT
1 - 1
HSV
48%
24%
28%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |