Qualif. Champions Tercera ronda Final
Global 2-2
Club Brugge vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
16.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club Brugge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
KVC
0 - 2
BRU
19%
22%
59%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
BRU
3 - 0
KSK
88%
9%
3%
|
87 | 53 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2002 |
SHA
1 - 1
BRU
42%
25%
33%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
RAA
1 - 2
BRU
21%
23%
56%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2002 |
DBU
0 - 1
BRU
36%
24%
40%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
SHA
1 - 1
KRY
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2002 |
SHA
1 - 1
BRU
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2002 |
VOL
2 - 0
SHA
17%
22%
61%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2002 |
SHA
1 - 0
DYN
49%
23%
28%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2002 |
KPT
2 - 4
SHA
19%
25%
56%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |