Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
Club Brugge vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
24.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club Brugge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
AND
1 - 3
BRU
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1971 |
BRU
4 - 1
CRO
87%
9%
5%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
BRU
4 - 0
CHA
77%
14%
9%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1971 |
DIE
1 - 4
BRU
26%
26%
48%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
BRU
4 - 0
MOL
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1971 |
CHL
2 - 0
BPO
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1971 |
SOU
0 - 0
CHL
35%
26%
39%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1971 |
STO
1 - 2
CHL
32%
27%
41%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1971 |
CHL
2 - 0
NTT
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1971 |
WOL
1 - 0
CHL
39%
26%
36%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |