Club NXT vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
4º
11º
4º
14
5º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club NXT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
BRG
1 - 0
KSK
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
DEI
2 - 1
BRG
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
BRG
2 - 1
LOM
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
KRC
1 - 2
BRG
32%
26%
42%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
RWD
0 - 2
BRG
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
EXC
1 - 3
RSC
28%
26%
47%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
DEN
3 - 4
EXC
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
EXC
2 - 2
DIF
15%
19%
66%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
EXC
4 - 4
ROC
68%
19%
14%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
EXC
0 - 0
WAA
10%
19%
71%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |