Aurora vs Univ de Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
47.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 1
AUR
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2009 |
AUR
3 - 1
STR
47%
26%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
CHI
2 - 1
AUR
52%
25%
24%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
BLO
3 - 2
AUR
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
GRE
3 - 0
AUR
68%
20%
13%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
UCO
1 - 1
UCH
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
CUR
1 - 3
UCH
30%
29%
42%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
UCH
1 - 3
COL
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
UCH
0 - 2
GRE
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
UCH
1 - 3
SAN
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |