Aurora vs The Strongest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
51.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
OPE
1 - 0
AUR
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
AUR
0 - 0
NAC
31%
27%
43%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
SAC
1 - 1
AUR
52%
25%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
AUR
3 - 0
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2021 |
DRT
1 - 2
AUR
66%
20%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
STR
3 - 1
BOL
49%
23%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
BLO
2 - 0
STR
32%
25%
44%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
STR
2 - 1
GUA
66%
19%
15%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
RPO
1 - 3
STR
23%
23%
55%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2021 |
BOC
3 - 0
STR
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -3 |