Aurora vs The Strongest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
43.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
JWI
2 - 1
AUR
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
AUR
0 - 0
UNI
37%
26%
36%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2013 |
BLO
3 - 2
AUR
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
AUR
3 - 3
SAN
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
AUR
3 - 2
GUA
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SBW
0 - 1
STR
40%
27%
32%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
STR
1 - 0
NAC
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
RPO
1 - 0
STR
46%
25%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
STR
3 - 0
RPO
68%
19%
14%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -3 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
OPE
0 - 2
STR
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |