Aurora vs The Strongest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
31.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2010 |
BOL
1 - 0
AUR
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 1
OPE
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 3
AUR
64%
20%
16%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 0
JWI
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2010 |
STR
2 - 1
AUR
60%
21%
19%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2010 |
OPE
2 - 1
STR
54%
25%
22%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
STR
1 - 1
JWI
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2010 |
BOL
0 - 1
STR
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
STR
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2010 |
STR
2 - 1
AUR
60%
21%
19%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |