Aurora vs Sport Boys Warnes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
AUR
2 - 2
STR
16%
25%
59%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
NAC
3 - 2
AUR
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 0
AUR
80%
13%
7%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2019 |
OPE
5 - 0
AUR
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
AUR
3 - 2
RPO
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Boys Warnes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
SBW
1 - 1
DES
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
SBW
1 - 1
SAN
20%
23%
57%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
BLO
4 - 1
SBW
60%
21%
19%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
SBW
1 - 2
REA
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
SBO
5 - 0
SBW
32%
24%
44%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |