Aurora vs Sport Boys Warnes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 0
AUR
53%
24%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
SAN
4 - 0
AUR
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
AUR
3 - 1
BLO
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
JWI
3 - 2
AUR
58%
22%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
AUR
1 - 1
NAC
47%
24%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Boys Warnes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
SBW
1 - 0
BOL
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
PET
1 - 1
SBW
35%
24%
42%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
SBW
2 - 2
PET
63%
19%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
SAC
0 - 2
SBW
52%
25%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SBW
2 - 1
CIC
57%
24%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |