Aurora vs San José Oruro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
AUR
0 - 0
JWI
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2018 |
BLO
1 - 0
AUR
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
AUR
2 - 2
SBW
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
ROY
3 - 0
AUR
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
AUR
2 - 0
STR
50%
26%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
San José Oruro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
4 - 0
BLO
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
NAC
3 - 2
SAN
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
SBW
0 - 0
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 0
ROY
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
STR
1 - 1
SAN
56%
22%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |