Aurora vs San José Oruro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
STR
2 - 1
AUR
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
AUR
5 - 2
NAC
34%
26%
39%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
AUR
2 - 0
NAC
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
AUR
2 - 0
LAP
67%
20%
14%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2011 |
REA
0 - 2
AUR
32%
26%
42%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
San José Oruro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 0
BOL
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAN
28%
25%
47%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 1
UNI
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 2
RPO
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 0
SAN
57%
23%
21%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |