Aurora vs San José Oruro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
39.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
JWI
1 - 0
AUR
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 1
BLO
51%
26%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 0
AUR
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
AUR
4 - 1
SAN
34%
25%
41%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2010 |
AUR
3 - 2
BOL
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
San José Oruro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
LAP
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
REA
3 - 0
SAN
22%
23%
56%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
BOL
56%
23%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
AUR
4 - 1
SAN
34%
25%
41%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2010 |
RPO
1 - 3
SAN
48%
23%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |