Aurora vs Royal Pari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
27.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
OPE
2 - 0
AUR
54%
24%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
AUR
0 - 0
GUA
40%
26%
35%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 0
AUR
49%
24%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
AUR
2 - 0
NAC
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 2
AUR
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Royal Pari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
ROY
4 - 2
BOL
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
RPO
3 - 0
ROY
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
ROY
2 - 1
RPO
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 2
ROY
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
ROY
1 - 0
UNI
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |