Aurora vs Real Tomayapo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
11º
6º
24
3º
13º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 44 |
1º
|
58.5% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 41 |
2º
|
46% | |
|
|
3º
|
24 | 35 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 32 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 32 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
|
5º
|
20 | 31 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 31 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 31 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 31 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 29 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 27 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 26 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 24 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 23 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 22 |
15º
|
30% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 20 |
16º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 96.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
ROY
1 - 1
AUR
35%
28%
37%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
AUR
0 - 0
JWI
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
AUR
1 - 0
BLO
55%
24%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
SAC
2 - 2
AUR
31%
28%
41%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
AUR
2 - 3
ABB
64%
22%
15%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Real Tomayapo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
DRT
2 - 0
STR
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ROY
0 - 2
DRT
40%
27%
34%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
DRT
3 - 2
IND
40%
26%
33%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
JWI
2 - 1
DRT
51%
26%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
DRT
2 - 1
GUA
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |