Aurora vs Real Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
IND
1 - 1
AUR
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
AUR
0 - 0
STR
24%
27%
49%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AUR
0 - 0
CMV
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
REA
0 - 1
AUR
74%
17%
10%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
AUR
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SAC
2 - 1
NAC
23%
25%
53%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
OPE
3 - 1
SAC
65%
21%
15%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
SAC
1 - 1
DRT
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
CMV
4 - 0
SAC
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SAC
1 - 3
BLO
39%
25%
36%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |