Aurora vs Real Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
28.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
JWI
0 - 0
AUR
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
AUR
3 - 0
UNI
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CMV
0 - 1
AUR
48%
28%
25%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
AUR
1 - 1
OPE
26%
26%
47%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
GUA
3 - 2
AUR
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
REA
5 - 0
SAC
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
STR
1 - 1
SAC
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SAC
3 - 2
NAC
39%
27%
35%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAC
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 3
SAC
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |