Aurora vs Real Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
34.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 0
AUR
62%
22%
17%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 4
AUR
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
AUR
1 - 2
DRT
35%
28%
38%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
IND
3 - 0
AUR
73%
18%
10%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
BOL
5 - 1
AUR
70%
18%
11%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Real Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
SAC
2 - 0
DRT
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
SAC
0 - 3
BOL
29%
25%
46%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
BLO
3 - 1
SAC
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
SAC
3 - 0
GUA
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
RPO
3 - 0
SAC
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |