Aurora vs Real Potosí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
32.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
BOL
5 - 0
AUR
88%
9%
3%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
AUR
0 - 2
JWI
14%
23%
64%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2019 |
OPE
2 - 1
AUR
62%
22%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
AUR
2 - 0
ROY
31%
26%
44%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
SBW
4 - 0
AUR
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Real Potosí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
RPO
1 - 4
SAN
12%
19%
69%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2019 |
BLO
2 - 0
RPO
62%
20%
18%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
RPO
5 - 0
DES
57%
21%
22%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
REA
5 - 1
RPO
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
RPO
1 - 0
GUA
44%
24%
32%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |