Aurora vs Real Potosí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
DES
1 - 0
AUR
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
JWI
3 - 0
AUR
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
AUR
1 - 0
GUA
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
AUR
1 - 2
STR
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
BLO
2 - 1
AUR
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Real Potosí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
RPO
4 - 2
BOL
21%
22%
57%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
RPO
1 - 0
OPE
27%
26%
48%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
ROY
2 - 1
RPO
72%
18%
10%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
JWI
4 - 0
RPO
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -4 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
RPO
0 - 5
SAN
32%
26%
43%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |