Aurora vs Ramiro Castillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2017 |
RAM
0 - 1
AUR
47%
27%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
AUR
1 - 0
FAN
85%
12%
4%
|
67 | 36 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
AME
0 - 0
AUR
8%
20%
72%
|
67 | 33 | 34 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
AUR
2 - 1
CIC
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CIC
0 - 0
AUR
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Ramiro Castillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2017 |
RAM
0 - 1
AUR
47%
27%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
DES
2 - 2
RAM
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
RAM
4 - 1
BER
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
REA
0 - 1
RAM
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
RAM
1 - 2
BEN
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |