Aurora vs La Paz FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2011 |
REA
1 - 1
AUR
31%
26%
43%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
AUR
3 - 2
OPE
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
BOL
1 - 1
AUR
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
AUR
3 - 1
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
UNI
3 - 1
AUR
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
La Paz FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
LAP
1 - 0
SAN
27%
24%
49%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
BLO
3 - 0
LAP
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
LAP
1 - 1
STR
36%
25%
39%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
RPO
1 - 0
LAP
61%
20%
19%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 1
LAP
39%
26%
36%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |