Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
41.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
AUR
4 - 1
SAC
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 0
AUR
62%
22%
17%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 4
AUR
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
AUR
1 - 2
DRT
35%
28%
38%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
IND
3 - 0
AUR
73%
18%
10%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
OPE
1 - 3
BOL
36%
25%
39%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
BLO
1 - 1
OPE
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
OPE
2 - 0
GUA
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
RPO
2 - 1
OPE
25%
24%
50%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
OPE
2 - 4
ROY
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |