Aurora vs Nacional Potosí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
38.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2022 |
AUR
2 - 4
SAC
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
JWI
0 - 0
AUR
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
AUR
3 - 0
UNI
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CMV
0 - 1
AUR
48%
28%
25%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
AUR
1 - 1
OPE
26%
26%
47%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional Potosí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 1
STR
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
DRT
1 - 0
NAC
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 2
NAC
42%
26%
33%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SAC
3 - 2
NAC
39%
27%
35%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 1
UNI
52%
24%
25%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |