Aurora vs Nacional Potosí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
20.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
AUR
2 - 0
LAP
67%
20%
14%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2011 |
REA
0 - 2
AUR
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
AUR
61%
23%
17%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
AUR
0 - 0
BLO
50%
26%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
STR
1 - 3
AUR
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional Potosí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
NAC
4 - 2
OPE
36%
28%
37%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2011 |
LAP
0 - 4
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 0
RPO
39%
27%
35%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 1
LAP
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
REA
55%
24%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |