Aurora vs Nacional Potosí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
24%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
UNI
3 - 1
AUR
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
AUR
2 - 0
GUA
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
AUR
1 - 1
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
JWI
1 - 0
AUR
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 1
BLO
51%
26%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional Potosí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 0
SAN
32%
25%
43%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
BLO
1 - 0
NAC
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 4
STR
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 2
JWI
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2009 |
BLO
2 - 1
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |