Aurora vs Atlético Palmaflor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
46.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
OPE
2 - 1
AUR
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
AUR
2 - 1
JWI
17%
24%
60%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
REA
1 - 0
AUR
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
AUR
4 - 0
RPO
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
BLO
0 - 1
AUR
61%
22%
18%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Atlético Palmaflor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2020 |
CMV
2 - 0
GUA
75%
17%
8%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
NAC
4 - 2
CMV
45%
27%
29%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
CMV
1 - 0
ROY
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
BOL
3 - 1
CMV
77%
13%
10%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -3 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
CMV
2 - 0
SAC
62%
23%
16%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +2 |