Aurora vs Jorge Wilstermann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
55%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
AUR
4 - 2
SBW
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 1
AUR
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
AUR
1 - 2
SAN
21%
25%
54%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
ROY
4 - 1
AUR
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
AUR
0 - 4
BOL
22%
24%
54%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
RPO
0 - 2
JWI
16%
23%
61%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
JWI
2 - 1
DES
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
GUA
4 - 0
JWI
25%
26%
49%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2018 |
JWI
3 - 1
STR
54%
24%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
JWI
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |