Winter Tournament Torneo de Invierno Last 16
Global 1-4
Aurora vs Jorge Wilstermann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2010 |
JWI
3 - 0
AUR
49%
24%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2010 |
JWI
2 - 1
AUR
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
AUR
3 - 5
STR
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2010 |
BOL
1 - 0
AUR
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 1
OPE
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2010 |
JWI
3 - 0
AUR
49%
24%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2010 |
JWI
2 - 1
AUR
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
BOL
0 - 1
JWI
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2010 |
JWI
3 - 1
SAN
38%
26%
37%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
STR
1 - 1
JWI
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |