Aurora vs Jorge Wilstermann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
UNI
2 - 3
AUR
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
AUR
0 - 0
OPE
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
SAC
1 - 2
AUR
38%
25%
37%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2004 |
AUR
0 - 0
BLO
51%
23%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
JWI
1 - 0
AUR
59%
22%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
JWI
1 - 2
SAC
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
UNI
1 - 1
JWI
34%
28%
39%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
JWI
2 - 3
BLO
59%
21%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
OPE
1 - 1
JWI
59%
21%
20%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
JWI
1 - 0
AUR
59%
22%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |