Aurora vs Independiente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
52%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
AUR
1 - 1
BOL
18%
22%
61%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
BLO
1 - 0
AUR
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
AUR
2 - 1
GUA
24%
25%
51%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
RPO
1 - 1
AUR
55%
22%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
AUR
0 - 8
ROY
25%
25%
49%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
IND
5 - 4
JWI
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
BOL
1 - 0
IND
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
IND
2 - 2
STR
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
IND
1 - 0
OPE
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
BLO
2 - 2
IND
41%
26%
34%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |