Aurora vs Guabirá Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
42%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
AUR
3 - 4
REA
26%
25%
49%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CMV
3 - 2
AUR
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2021 |
AUR
1 - 1
JWI
26%
25%
49%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
STR
3 - 0
AUR
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
AUR
1 - 2
OPE
32%
27%
42%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Guabirá Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 3
IND
38%
26%
37%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
RPO
1 - 3
GUA
33%
24%
43%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2021 |
GUA
3 - 2
ROY
34%
25%
41%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
REA
6 - 1
GUA
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 0
CMV
41%
26%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |