Aurora vs Guabirá Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
AUR
1 - 1
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
JWI
1 - 0
AUR
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 1
BLO
51%
26%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 0
AUR
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
AUR
4 - 1
SAN
34%
25%
41%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Guabirá Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 0
REA
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 0
RPO
28%
26%
46%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
LAP
3 - 1
GUA
58%
23%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
STR
1 - 0
GUA
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
JWI
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |