Aurora vs Club Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
SAC
1 - 1
AUR
50%
26%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
AUR
1 - 0
IND
30%
25%
45%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
STR
4 - 0
AUR
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
CMV
1 - 2
AUR
47%
28%
26%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
AUR
1 - 1
REA
27%
26%
47%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Club Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
REA
4 - 0
UNI
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 0
ROY
26%
25%
49%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2022 |
IND
2 - 0
UNI
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 3
STR
27%
27%
47%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
GUA
5 - 0
UNI
53%
24%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |