Aurora vs Club Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
35.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CMV
0 - 1
AUR
48%
28%
25%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
AUR
1 - 1
OPE
26%
26%
47%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
GUA
3 - 2
AUR
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2022 |
AUR
1 - 0
STR
23%
26%
51%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 1
AUR
62%
22%
17%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Club Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 1
STR
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 1
UNI
52%
24%
25%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 3
SAC
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 0
GUA
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 0
CMV
36%
26%
38%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |