Aurora vs Club Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
41.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
RPO
4 - 1
AUR
63%
20%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
AUR
1 - 2
OPE
33%
26%
42%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
JWI
4 - 2
AUR
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
AUR
0 - 0
STR
28%
25%
47%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
SBW
1 - 0
AUR
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Club Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 1
BOL
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
GUA
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
UNI
3 - 0
OPE
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
JWI
4 - 2
UNI
57%
24%
20%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
UNI
4 - 2
STR
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |