Aurora vs Cerro Porteño analysis


69	ELO	74
0.1%	Tilt	0%
1167º	General ELO ranking	1046º
3º	Country ELO ranking	7º
ELO win probability

46.7%

Aurora

20.7%

Draw

32.6%

Cerro Porteño

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

46.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%

20.7%

Draw

0-0

2.1%

1-1

7.7%

2-2

7.2%

3-3

3%

4-4

0.7%

5-5

0.1%

6-6

<0%

0

20.7%

32.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+6%

-7%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches