Aurora vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
60.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
BLO
1 - 0
AUR
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
AUR
2 - 1
GUA
24%
25%
51%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
RPO
1 - 1
AUR
55%
22%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
AUR
0 - 8
ROY
25%
25%
49%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2020 |
AUR
1 - 1
SAC
41%
28%
32%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
BOL
2 - 1
ARS
47%
23%
30%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
JUN
3 - 0
BOL
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
BOL
1 - 0
IND
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
BOL
2 - 1
JUN
41%
26%
34%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
BOL
2 - 0
BLO
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |