Aurora vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2014 |
SBW
1 - 1
AUR
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
AUR
2 - 1
RPO
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BLO
1 - 2
AUR
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
AUR
2 - 1
SAN
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
STR
4 - 1
AUR
66%
19%
15%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2014 |
LAN
1 - 1
BOL
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
RPO
2 - 0
BOL
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
BOL
6 - 0
BLO
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 1
BOL
54%
23%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
BOL
1 - 1
LEO
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |