Aurora vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
RPO
2 - 1
AUR
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
OPE
1 - 1
AUR
51%
25%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 0
BLO
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 3
QUI
34%
27%
40%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
PET
3 - 0
AUR
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
BOL
2 - 3
STR
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
BOL
3 - 0
LAP
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 1
BOL
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
BOL
4 - 1
OPE
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BOL
0 - 0
UNI
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |