Atletico Universidad vs Alianza Atl. Sullana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
39%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2004 |
VAL
1 - 0
CAU
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
CAU
2 - 2
MEL
46%
26%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2004 |
SBO
1 - 1
CAU
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
CAU
4 - 1
CIE
26%
26%
49%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
SAM
1 - 0
CAU
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2004 |
ALI
3 - 3
CIE
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
ALI
2 - 1
VAL
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2004 |
UNI
1 - 1
ALI
39%
28%
34%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
ALI
5 - 0
SBO
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
CDE
0 - 1
ALI
25%
26%
49%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |