Tetuán vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
20.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tetuán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
CDB
3 - 1
CAT
51%
22%
27%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
CAT
1 - 0
GRA
63%
19%
18%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
CAT
5 - 1
MLL
69%
17%
14%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1953 |
CAS
6 - 1
CAT
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
ALC
2 - 0
CAT
64%
19%
18%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
HER
2 - 1
MEL
67%
18%
16%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
HER
4 - 1
UDE
70%
17%
13%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
CDT
5 - 2
HER
54%
22%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1953 |
UDL
2 - 1
HER
53%
22%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
HER
3 - 1
BAL
68%
17%
14%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |