At. Pulpileño vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Pulpileño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
PUL
1 - 2
EGP
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 2
PUL
18%
25%
58%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
PUL
7 - 0
BUL
75%
16%
9%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
UCA
0 - 1
PUL
41%
26%
33%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
PUL
3 - 0
RMC
45%
25%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
LOR
5 - 0
BUL
84%
11%
5%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
UCA
0 - 2
LOR
35%
25%
40%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LOR
1 - 0
RMC
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
LOR
25%
25%
50%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LOR
5 - 0
MIN
72%
16%
12%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |