At. Pulpileño vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
42.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Pulpileño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 1
PUL
31%
25%
44%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
PUL
0 - 1
AGU
52%
24%
24%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
IMP
0 - 3
PUL
30%
26%
44%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
PUL
1 - 0
MUL
59%
22%
20%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
PUL
0 - 2
MAZ
69%
19%
13%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CDA
0 - 1
LOR
11%
19%
70%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
LOR
4 - 0
CAR
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
AGU
1 - 0
LOR
24%
24%
52%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
LOR
1 - 0
IMP
78%
14%
8%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2019 |
LOR
0 - 2
MUL
80%
13%
7%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -1 |