At. Pulpileño vs Bala Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
5.8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Pulpileño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
MIN
2 - 3
PUL
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
PUL
1 - 0
IMP
52%
24%
25%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
MIN
1 - 0
PUL
38%
25%
37%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
PUL
3 - 0
CAR
65%
20%
15%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
YEC
2 - 0
PUL
63%
21%
17%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
BAL
0 - 5
CFC
15%
20%
65%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
UDL
4 - 0
BAL
79%
13%
8%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
BAL
3 - 5
NUE
16%
21%
63%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
UCA
3 - 0
BAL
78%
14%
8%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 2
MUL
29%
25%
47%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |