Libertad FC vs Cumbayá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
25%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
7º
15º
14º
1
12º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 27 |
1º
|
28.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 27 |
2º
|
10.5% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 25 |
3º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 25 |
4º
|
7.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 24 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 24 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 24 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 23 |
8º
|
1.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 21 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 20 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 19 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 18 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 18 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
8 | 16 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 15 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
1 | 7 |
16º
|
88% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 1
IVT
26%
28%
47%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
TEC
3 - 0
CAL
62%
23%
16%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
AUC
0 - 1
CAL
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 0
DEL
22%
26%
52%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LIG
3 - 0
CAL
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cumbayá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CFC
0 - 3
AUC
24%
27%
50%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
CFC
69%
19%
11%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
CFC
1 - 2
IMB
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MUS
0 - 0
CFC
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CFC
1 - 3
IVT
23%
28%
49%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |