Libertad FC vs América Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
36%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 0
CAL
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 1
OLM
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
PQU
1 - 0
CAL
41%
29%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 0
CHA
37%
29%
34%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 2
CAL
46%
27%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
América Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
AME
0 - 0
IMB
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 2
AME
38%
30%
32%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
AME
1 - 1
MAN
55%
26%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 0
AME
35%
29%
36%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
AME
0 - 0
PQU
60%
24%
17%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |